The renovations market has recovered strongly over the past
6 months. Last week we focused on the reasons why home owners have been
undertaking these home improvements and by doing this en masse have driven the
Hardware, Paint and Glass Products category within the Stats SA retail sales
measurement to be the highest growth category by far. This week we will analyze
the renovations market from a property owners’ perspective and the five distinct
categories that are measured by FNB in their estate agent survey. We all know
that owning a property comes with a requirement to continuously maintain the
property if we are to avoid wear and tear impacting on its value. It is often
this maintenance aspect that is the hidden cost of property ownership and when
times are tough, it is one of the first aspects that becomes neglected.
From
2004 the data presented in the survey suggests a long decline in the percentage
of homeowners “investing in their properties with a view of adding value”. This
is a measure of the highest level of home maintenance and improvement and
actually reached an all-time low of 3% of total homeowners in the first half of
2013. This was a dramatic decline from the high of 43% recorded at the
beginning of 2004. The good news is that this measurement has recovered
recently to 10.5% as at the end of the first quarter of 2014. The next level
down refers to those homeowners reported to be “fully maintaining their
property and making some improvements”. This category has steadily improved
from a low of 27% in 2008 to 44.5% by the first quarter of 2014. The top two
categories therefore make up 55% of homeowners and this seems to be what is
driving the retail sales of home improvement products. The third category down
measures those homeowners “not improving but still maintaining homes”. This
group has also grown to a much improved 35.5% and it would be expected that
homeowners would migrate upwards from this category as our general economic environment
improved. The fourth category refers to those homeowners “only attending the
basic maintenance”. This category should ideally be declining, as without any
improvement a home will go backward over time. This category increased
significantly from 6% in 2004 to 34% in the first quarter of 2009, and has
since receded to the current 9.5%. The fifth and last category are those who
are “letting the home get run down”. This is simply the worst-case scenario and
as estate agents we witness this type of value destruction from time to time. Fortunately
the size of this group is too small to be relevant. When we do come across a
home that is becoming run down, it creates a wonderful buying opportunity for
the next person who will then typically take the home straight into the top
category of investing in the property to add value. The impact of rising
interest rates is the variable, which can quickly cause additional financial
stress and could impact on how homeowners approach the maintenance of their
properties. For now it is those homeowners that regularly invest in their
properties that are achieving the best prices in the market.
Published in The Bugle, 7th May 2014, Author: Andreas Wassenaar
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