The
high end of residential real estate is where I have focused on for the past
twenty years. Definitions of “high-end” vary depending on where in the country
you are active in. Along the Atlantic Seaboard in Cape Town, this category is
significantly higher than in most other areas. Transactions ranging from R10m,
for an average V&A Waterfront apartment, to R110m for a penthouse at the
One and Only Hotel tends to define this category in Cape Town. As I am
fascinated by what drives the property market and how value is attributed to
various real estate sectors, I cannot resist analyzing transfer data across
various suburbs and estates. Nettleton Road in Clifton is a remarkable road
with Stefan Antoni designer homes perched on top of granite rocks looking out over
the cold Atlantic. It is not uncommon to see a home advertised in Nettleton
Road for over R100m. A transfer report on all registered transactions within
Nettleton Road since 1 January 2010 however indicates only 9 transactions
ranging in price from a “pedestrian” R11,5m to a more impressive R60m. These
homes are not situated on large sites. The site sizes of the sample ranged from
a tiny 593 sqm (small even by our local Palm Lakes benchmark) to a more
meaningful 1,912 sqm. Selling prices per sqm of land ranged from R15,416/sqm to
R84,317/sqm. Ouch! Imagine paying almost R90,000/sqm of land for a freehold
property.
As high as these registered transfer prices are I could not find
transfers registered over R100m. OK, so what about the V&A Waterfront? The
500 plus high-end apartments that make up this exclusive suburb have equally
impressive advertised prices. Again analyzing all registered transfers over
R10m from 1st January 2010 within the V&A Waterfront suburb, I
could pick up 36 transactions. The highest registration during this four year
period was R63m for a 1,050 sqm penthouse at the One and Only. For R10m you can
expect to buy a 250 sqm apartment at around R40,000/sqm. The highest rate per
sqm in the sample analyzed was R78,431/sqm for a 255 sqm apartment that sold at
R20m.
Expanding the research across the entire Clifton suburb and restricting
the research to the four year period from 1st January 2010, I picked
up on a “wow” transaction. Over this period Clifton delivered 81 transfers over
R10m – that has to be impressive by any standard. At the top of the list is a
sale recorded at R198,354,300 for a 834 sqm apartment at The Clifton situated
at 56 Victoria Drive. The accompanying garage of 33 sqm would push the total
size to 867 sqm and the resultant price/sqm to R228,782.35.
Having now understood what the Atlantic top
end actually means how do we in KZN compare. Zimbali Coastal Resort provides a
benchmark for our local high-end residential real estate. Applying the same
methodology to Zimbali we see that there were 21 transfers over R10m in Zimbali
for freehold homes (excluding vacant land transactions and sectional title
units). Of these 19 were between R10m – R15m. Two were at R20m. This gives
sellers some insight into how infrequently homes above R15m trade. The most
inactive price bracket in Zimbali is currently the R15m plus range and yet it
is in this bracket that a large amount of the current listed stock sits. Once
you consider stock in terms of years on hand, we have over 20 years of stock on
hand for the R15m to R35m price bracket. Comparing Zimbali to the Atlantic
Seaboard opportunities it appears that we are offering incredible value for
money, which buyers should enjoy as long as it lasts.
Published in The Bugle, 26 Mar 2014, Author: Andreas Wassenaar
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